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The Fall of Fibre Channel: Page 13 of 16

  • Ergo, it must continue to dominate the Fibre Channel market if it is to
    maintain its revenues (and share price) and not go the way of companies like
    EMC, Foundry Networks Inc. (Nasdaq: FDRY), or — Heaven forfend! – Lucent Technologies Inc. (NYSE: LU). The problem is that Brocade is already losing
    market share. And given the number of companies that are gunning for a piece
    of its pie, things are set to get worse.

    Of course, Brocade could just tell people that this doesn’t matter because
    the Fibre Channel market is growing faster than it can lose it. But this
    sort of argument is unlikely to impress Wall Street.

    A better defense would be a strong technology offense, by which Brocade
    aggressively develops new Fibre Channel products, brings them to market
    first, proves that they are best in breed, and then forces the competition
    out of business by using its strong cash position to undercut their prices
    (à la Cisco).So is Brocade doing this? Not exactly. Its foray into 2-Gbit/s Fibre Channel
    switches is a case in point (see Brocade Unveils Fabric Switch).

    Consider the story so far:

    To its credit, Brocade has been investing heavily in research and
    development. In fact, over the past five quarters, Brocade's R&D-to-sales

    spending ratio (a good barometer of a how aggressively a company is
    developing new products) has averaged 19 percent – higher than that of other
    market-leading companies like Cisco (17.5%), QLogic (17.3%), EMC (11.9%), or
    Network Appliance Inc. (Nasdaq: NTAP) (12.6%).