Which way is the wind blowing today? Just two weeks after a Thomas Weisel Partners research note sent McData Corp.'s (Nasdaq: MCDTA) stock soaring on speculation that the company was taking share from archrival Brocade Communications Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: BRCD), comments from the same firm today sent its stock price into a tailspin (see McData Picks Brocade's Pocket).
McData saw its shares tumble more than 14 percent today, closing at $13.43 per share, after Thomas Weisel analyst Jason Ader issued a note that the company seems to have been hurt by Brocades dramatic price slashing over past weeks. The broader market was flat, with the Nasdaq composite closing up 0.06 percent.
While Ader characterized Brocades discounting efforts as a "short-term nuisance," he said that they could potentially hinder McData from reporting the kind of record profits it has seen over the past two quarters (see McData Switches on McProfit and McData, Emulex Rake It In).
Disappointing as this may be, the market reaction to the research note seems a bit harsh. While Aders note today wasnt nearly as upbeat on McData as the one he issued on June 25, he contended that the companys July quarter appears to be on track, and maintains his Outperform rating and his forecast of 7 cents second quarter earnings on $108 million in revenue. That's the same as the Wall Street consensus.
"Notwithstanding near-term competitive pressures, we are confident in McDatas market position, driven by superior products, strong OEM relationships, and profitable execution," he wrote in the note.