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Faster Fibre Channel, Slower Adoption: Page 2 of 2

Then there's the pressure from the various 10Gbps Ethernet storage technologies. Smaller organizations that may have implemented Fibre Channel in the past can use NFS or iSCSI over 10Gbps Ethernet while large enterprises can use FCoE and retain the Fibre Channel management tools they've been using. These factors, along with server virtualization, will reduce Fibre Channel port sales, leaving a smaller number of ports across which FC vendors must amortize their development costs.
Howard Marks
October 20, 2010

By the time the plug-fests and hardware compatibility list updates are completed for 16Gbps FC products next spring, most of the target customers for 16Gbps FC will have already evaluated FCoE. As for 32Gbps FC, I think that Ethernet's head start with 40 and 100Gbps specs complete and products shipping will put a world of hurt on the Fibre Channel plans. By the time 32Gbps FC is available in 2013 or 2014, the enterprise players that would want it will be moving down the FCoE roadmap.

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