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Expect The Unexpected In 2005: Page 2 of 5

IBM Will Reinvent Itself With Services & Servers
If Indian companies don't look to buy out American service providers, IBM may want to add them to its Global Services arm. As for servers, where do you think all the effort and resources that used to go into its sold-off PC line will be redirected?

Microsoft Clears the Legal Decks
The thought of Microsoft not being sued by anybody is exceedingly strange, but after settling with Sun and most of the states (and a pending ruling in the EU), the brain trust in Redmond isn't looking at too many more major claims against it. Real Networks and Novell are still on the docket now, but it seems likely that Microsoft will want to get everything off its plate before releasing its two next flagships, Longhorn and Xbox 2.

Living Room Convergence Will Finally Happen
Why is that an offbeat prediction? Because people have been claiming it's just around the corner for so long that it seems almost silly to do it again. But it finally makes sense: High-definition TV is hitting some critical mass, HD and digital cable boxes are adding in DVRs, and a new generation of gaming consoles will start on the path toward American homes this summer. And the real reason it'll happen this year is because the proponents of proprietary systems, such as Microsoft and Sony, will see that they need a revenue source that is unassailable by open-source technology.

Security Predictions
New Tech Tools Invite New Tech Attacks
Major hacker damage will be wrought against smart phones, PDAs and other mobile devices. And as a consequence, some enterprises begin prohibiting employees from bringing personal technology into the workplace. Look for cell phone companies to begin selling anti-virus add-ons to their phones.

There Are No Orchestrated Cyberattacks by Terrorists
This particular security shoe has been waiting to drop for a long time - and if it doesn't fall in 2005, plenty of pundits, including some at CMP, will be surprised. But we've all been surprised before. Of particular concern if outright acts of cyberterror or cyberwar don't take place in the next year, will be the increased difficulty in justifying and obtaining funds for Homeland-level cyber-defense activities.

Government Gets Its Act Together
On the other hand, maybe the government will get its cyber-security act together and institute a sweeping and effective overhaul of all inter-agency/department communications and accessibility, replacing legacy liabilities with the right equipment for the job. But probably not.