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SDN Market To Surge As Cloud Computing Grows, Research Firm Says

Dell'Oro Group forecasts sixfold growth for software-defined networking market by 2018 as demand for Ethernet switches in public and private cloud deployments rises.

The software-defined networking (SDN) market will grow sixfold during the next five years, fueled by cloud computing, according to the Dell’Oro Group.

According to the firm's Data Center Disruptors Advanced Research Report, the majority of this market will be composed of Ethernet switches and network security appliances, which are projected to represent 75% of total sales revenue in 2013.

"The data center portion of the Ethernet Switch market that sells into enterprises is plateauing," Alan Weckel, vice president at Dell’Oro Group, said in an email interview. "But the surge [in] cloud deployments is causing the overall data center portion of the Ethernet switch market to grow. It is likely that SDNs biggest impact over the next several years will occur in the cloud -- both public and private -- and not in traditional enterprise data centers."

A recent report from Transparency Market Research predicts the global market for software-defined networking (SDN) will reach more than $3.5 billion by 2018, with cloud service providers being the fastest growing segment of end users. Dell'Oro declined to provide specific numbers for the SDN market.

The growth of the SDN market and cloud computing are very much intertwined, Weckel said. As cloud environments grow, the development and implementation of applications will change, including in ways that make them agnostic to the network underneath. As the applications change and the network is abstracted, Weckel said, a whole new wave of applications will likely emerge and drive SDN to spread further as the fundamental building blocks an application runs on change.

"You need SDN -- especially the ability to program and automate -- in order to have the cloud scale," he said. "Without SDN, clouds could not scale without IT resources. SDN is an enabler of the cloud scaling to thousands and tens of thousands of applications [and] servers per IT resource."

[Read Greg Ferro's take on how SDN vendors should make license plans simple to spur adoption and save everyone time in "SDN Licensing: Keep It Simple."]

In regards to network security appliances, the SDN market will likely have the greatest impact on intrusion detection and prevention systems , enterprise firewalls and content security, he said. This is because these segments interact directly with network traffic.

"As SDN begins to change network traffic into network flows, these segments will have to change because the technology behind them and their function in the network will change. There is also a lot of start-up interest in this area as it's seen as an area of product disruption," he said.

According to a report on SDN from IT security research and advisory firm NSS Labs, one of the challenges to SDN adoption is that controller peer-to-peer security mechanisms are not yet established, so unless an enterprise controls and manages an entire network domain -- virtual or physical -- the benefits of SDN are limited.

"The biggest benefits of SDN occur within moderately- to highly-virtualized environments," the report notes. "Here, the SDN toolsets are the most evolved to accommodate virtual machine deployment. An enterprise with a large percentage of non-virtual machines will not realize the same economic benefits and therefore has less need for SDN."

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User Rank: Apprentice
11/7/2013 | 3:52:24 AM
re: SDN Market To Surge As Cloud Computing Grows, Research Firm Says
This is exactly right. It might actually be harder to buy non-SDN solutions than it is to find SDN solutions in a couple of years. Everyone is moving that direction from a provisioning and management perspective.

When we looked at the potential impact of SDN with the guys at SDNCentral, we were much more aggressive. I wouldn't be surprised to see 30% of new networking purchases shift to SDN-related (at least from a selection criteria - maybe not actually deployed) by 2018. That would make the number way bigger.

Of course, people should be aware that SDN spend will be largely substitutive. It's not that there will be net-new dollars flowing in for SDN but rather spend that would have been spent on traditional solutions will move to SDN.

-Mike Bushong (@ubm_techweb_disqus_sso_-1f1aa9da472195170d23a745dc1f3a27:disqus)
User Rank: Apprentice
11/6/2013 | 3:45:32 AM
re: SDN Market To Surge As Cloud Computing Grows, Research Firm Says
The provisioning of virtualized resources in the cloud, and flexible configuration of virtual network resources go hand in hand. You can't do cloud very effectively without software defined networking. Projections of its 2018 value may be understated.
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