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NextBand, the second biggest bidder in
the LMDS auction, plans to use the spectrum to support the venture's two
operating backers, mobile wireless operator Nextel Communications, Inc., and
competitive local exchange carrier NextLink Communications, Inc. NextBand won
13 A-block licenses, which will be useful
in NextLink's operations for point-to-multipoint connectivity, and 29 B-block licenses, which will be used to
provide backhaul links for Nextel and to support point-to-point connections to
NextLink customers.
NextBand itself may not become an operating entity, choosing instead
to license its spectrum to its controlling partners. NextLink operates in 26
markets in eight states (many of them in the same localities where NextBand
will have licenses), whereas Nextel operates nationwide.
Where Did Everybody Go?
A
number of factors contributed to the low level of competition in the LMDS
auction. After the disastrously high bidding and subsequent financial collapses
of many participants in the PCS auctions, investors were extremely wary of
backing speculative bidding on airwaves. In part, WNP succeeded in raising
funds because it offered investors protection against the type of bidding that
went on in the PCS auction. Thus the government is better off getting close to
$800 million in revenues from people who can pay the money and deploy the
technology than it is getting billions in illusory sums that will never be
spent.
LMDS now has the support of the major telecommunications suppliers,
including Alcatel Network Systems, Inc., Ericsson, Inc., Lucent Technologies,
Inc., Northern Telecom, Inc., and others. However, most of these companies only
got into the game as it became apparent that breakthroughs in the manufacture
of low-cost gallium-arsenide processors had made possible solid-state broadband
wireless communications at ultrahigh-frequency levels.
Future Projections
By now, gee-whiz notions about local multipoint distribution
services (LMDS) technology have pretty much gone by the wayside. U.S. spectrum
allocations have been made, larger vendors who have entered the market have
replaced early proponents, and we are down to the nuts and bolts of using the
technology.
Businesses must now emerge from the morass of talk, technical
jargon, and market projections being bandied about to prove the true value of
LMDS. LMDS supports many possibilities, but most break new ground into the
trodden clay of established thinking. We are entering a time when technology
has become so diverse, with so many options and applications that new models
become viable—yet caution is advised.
It is not enough to offer one great black box or fantastic service
and know the world will beat a path to your door. A suite of products and
services ultimately must, in concrete ways, answer the real problems of real
people and real businesses. Forcing a solution by offering a no-choice,
single-vendor package in what will become an increasingly distributed network
architecture is counterintuitive to the next
generation network paradigms at play. Many service providers have made
decisions for core technologies that best serve their needs and are looking for
flexible solutions that best enable their point of differentiation. Thus, what
drives the need for LMDS and how will service providers position themselves?
The Need for Speed
There is no doubt that the PC has
become a critical communications tool; it is now found in more than half of all
U.S. households. Looking back to 1985, the PCs of the day seem almost
laughable. Today's users have no use for boat anchors with 2-MHz/16-bit
CPUs, 5-MB hard drives, and 300-bps modems. Today's standard has
risen to 300-MHz/32-bit CPUs with 5-GB drives, yet the vast majority of us
still waddle along at 33-kbps communication rates.
On the computer side, technology shows no sign of slowing this
escalation of PC capability. By 2002, PCs will have 700-MHz/64-bit processors
and 25-GB hard drives. The PC is the number one communications appliance
generating new network traffic. The problem, however, is also the opportunity
that great and profitable businesses can be built around increasing access
speeds to the public network.
Though network backbones and large commercial sites have increased
communications pipe sizes at tremendous rates, local access to smaller end
users has not kept up and is, in fact, falling behind. Although the Internet
contributes to total network traffic, plain old voice remains the "killer
application" from a revenue-generation perspective. The right solution
must reliably carry voice and data traffic. This has proven a difficult
proposition to date given the high cost of past ubiquitous, application-specific
networks. LMDS removes this restriction.
LMDS Breaks The Mold
LMDS technology is stepping into the
access gap. LMDS provides a flexible, economical, and reliable source of nearly
unlimited broadband communications capability in the local loop. The technology,
inherently scalable and modular in nature, can provide significant cost
advantages over an incumbent provider's network. Standard network
interfaces are provided at the ingress/egress of an ATM- and/or PDH-based local
access platform, which makes integration simple. Service providers can count on
the technology for rapid deployment of multiple services in their targeted
markets. LMDS end users will experience tremendous benefits.
Bandwidth availability will improve dramatically, and healthy price
competition with the incumbents is always good news. Standard interfaces are
provided, which means that there are no stranded costs for information
technology managers looking to increase the performance of their service, and
it all comes with reliability comparable with that of fiber.
So what is LMDS? Where does it make sense today, and what are the
best applications for the use of its unprecedented spectrum allocation?